For buyers; consider a share continuously moving down over a period of time and you find the fall in the price as a buying opportunity. To decide your entry price, support level is there to help you. Since the stock is unlikely to go below this level, you can opt to buy at this level without fearing any risk of further downfall and aiming to take an opportunity to buy.

For sellers; consider a share continuously moving up and your aim is to have maximum profit margin and take a profitable exit. Thus to decide upon an exit price, Resistance level is what you should look for. Since the stock is more likely to “bounce” off this level rather than breaking through it, you can sell your stock for better returns.

In generic terms, for a stock trading between support and resistance levels, the strategy of a trader should to buy a stock at support and sell at resistance. For traders involved in short selling short at resistance and then cover the short at support.

As a part of technical analysis there is no denying the fact that support and resistance can help you benchmark your decisions but it is very important not to assume that these levels will not breach at all.

It is likely that a declining stock breaches a support level and continues dropping until it finds another support level. This is called breakdown and usually occurs when number of Buyers willing to step in to buy exceeds the supply available from sellers willing to sell. On the similar note, a rising stock may also breach the resistance level and continue rising till it finds another resistance level.  This occurs when the supply available from sellers willing to sell is greater then the demand from buyers willing to step in to buy. This is as simple as the concept of “demand and supply”. But next time you make a buy/sell decision, do take few minutes to have a look at these levels to enjoy its crunch.

All the best…

Renuka Kinger

Trading online has become very popular in today’s time when you just need a trading account and after that you can trade comfortably while sitting at your home. Apart from comfort of trade it provides various facilities like:

• Ease of buying and selling of shares.
• Online receipt of contract notes/ trade statement for the transactions.
• Direct deposits of dividends/ bonus amount etc to account.
• Various trading tools for ease of making investment decision.

One click of mouse button is of ample importance while trading online because sometimes it is what that draws a line between your winning or loosing the game. Trading online is very interesting but you have to be a bit careful as well. The process of trading is very easy but making money is a bit tricky. All you need is a trading account and a little bit of caution to operate the same. Below are some do’s and don’ts while trading online:

Prices change at the blink of eye and the transactions are not always in real time. Moreover the speed of your internet might cause delay. So always make sure not to change your decision until the last moment. Take time examining the stock and make decision ahead of time so that you don’t loose while in panic.

An important feature of stock markets is volatility. So if you don’t keep a close eye on how your stocks move while placing an order, you might land up in losses.

Online trading is a matter of trust between you and your broker because there is no in-person contact. But you can’t leave everything on trust. Make sure your broker provides you detailed email statements and contract notes of executed trades.

Online trading provides facility to place limit orders. If you don’t have sufficient time to keep track of the stock prices, fix up a buy/sell price based on your judgement and go for limit orders. Moreover limit orders help you take ample advantage of volatile session during the day.

In addition to the brokerage rate being paid, prudent investor should always be well aware of the various Fees and commissions charged by the broker for various services offered like Mobile services, buy sell alerts, reporting, chart and other tools to facilitate easy trade as they really affect your net earnings.

For novice traders, it’s a suggestion to always trade with stop losses. Set your stop loss to level to avoid the risks associated.

Even though chances of default by a good brokerage firm are nil but a smart investor should always keep track of credit/debit of money in their bank accounts or transfer of shares to/from the demat account accordingly for each trade executed because technical reasons might lead to discrepancy which cannot be avoided.

Prevention is always better than cure. Security is another important factor for online traders. It is advisable always to follow security measures related to passwords and other personal information while login into the websites to eliminate chances of theft of identity and information.

RENUKA KINGER

Penny stocks are designated as penny in terms of their market capitalization.

These might be low priced due to some reason such as these are of the companies looking for a way to raise capital. These might have good management, better future prospects but with insufficient funds due to which their share is low-priced. It is a matter of fact that a smaller company tends to grow faster and thus their stock tend to move at faster pace. With this Optimism in mind, don’t forget Penny stocks could be worth millions as well. So before underestimating them; keep it in your mind that it might be great opportunity turning your small capital into big amount

Penny stocks are considered more risky investments due to greater volatility factor. Secondly, these are generally traded in lots of 1000. So even if the price goes down by 1 buck, you will loose 1000 bucks in fraction of seconds. Thirdly, penny stocks might not be so frequently traded on stock exchanges. Suppose some rumor broke out and you just wish to exit the stock. But since the stock’s trading volume is low, you do not find buyers to buy your stock. Keeping aside all these factors, a well planned strategy might take you to diamonds hidden inside a coal mine. But before you really enter into the arena ask yourself few questions:

What is there in that penny stock attracting you to buy it?

What is the price at which you must exit the stock?

Once decided upon the stock to buy, exercise your mind to know is it really worth buying? Below are the three criterion helping you take a final decision.

Company fundamentals: Good cash flow is the most important consideration in choosing a penny stock. Spare sometime in knowing company fundamentals in addition to its goodwill and future projects. If a company has a good chance of success, please go for it.

PE and PEG ratio examine the PE ratio of the stock you and compare it with its peers doing well in the market. A safer way however is to find out the Price/Earnings/Growth (PEG) ratio (PE ratio divided by the projected growth in the next 3-5 years). Remember you will choose a stock with higher PE but lower PEG.

Trading volume: Assume yourself in a situation when you want to sell your stock but no one is ready to buy it. Stocks with low liquidity are difficult to buy or sell for the prices you want. So think twice before you buy such stock.

That was all about the reasons for you to buy a penny stock and considerations while deciding which one to buy? But the story does not end here due to associated risks. The best strategy to minimize the risk is to plan your exit having decided your expected profits. Do not just pump and dump the stock for reason that it costs you less than other stocks and will reach very high levels one day.

All The Best

- Renuka Kinger

To understand this in a better way, let’s have a look at the below comparison chart between futures and option:

From the above description, it can be inferred that be it future or an option; these are the ways of hedging the risk of investments. It provides a protection against unexpected rise or fall in the price by entering into an agreement to be executed in future date. The concept is very old when agreement used to be made by negotiating the price for harvest of season having been unaware whether harvest will be meager or plentiful. When harvest time came, demand would rise sharply and ultimately giving the holder of agreement a chance to earn more than what he had expected.

Whatever be the case, playing options and futures has always been a risky. So better  be careful before you enter into the arena!!

Renuka Kinger

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Short Selling

Looking at the flow of shares in above flowchart, one would ponder why to borrow shares for selling in market and then transfer them back to the lender? The logic behind shorting is very simple; earning profit margin. Let’s see how??

If you think a stock is overvalued and expect that the price would come down in future for sure; you would wish to sell the shares at current levels at higher price. So you borrow the shares and sell them at higher price. And when the stock actually falls as you had speculated; you buy it from market at lower price and return it to the lender and the difference between the selling price (higher) and buy price (lower) is what you earned in the deal. So at the end you must close the short by paying back the shares and this is called as “covering the short”. Concluding this, investors who anticipate fall in the stock price go short to take advantage of market fall. An investor can hold the short for as long as he wants but he is charged an interest as it is similar to a loan taken in the form of shares. Also if during the course of loan, the company declares dividend or rights issue, it must be paid to the lender who is the actual owner of shares because you are just a borrower.

Short selling is considered to destabilize markets directly or indirectly. In 2001, the stock prices crashed heavily owing to short selling by big operators after which SEBI banned it. After a gap of 6 years in December 2007 SEBI came up with updated norms of short selling to cover the loopholes and ultimately institutional investor were also permitted to short sell.

Concluding this, short selling no doubt gives you an opportunity to earn profit by taking advantage of downturn of markets, it might bring in huge loss to your investment if stock price moves up. Because in real sense, shorting is a bet against the current market trend. When stock is at current higher levels, you are expecting it to fall down and entering the arena. Speculation is what makes shorting a riskier job. So beware of the dark side of shorting before you actually go for it!

All the Best

Renuka Kinger

Having observed the past major events of volatility, one can realise the root cause as “unanticipated information” breaking out in the market. When this news stabilises, volatility vanishes because the uncertainty related dies out.

Few examples from recent past:

•    Govt announced buying of shares/bonds of Indian companies through participatory notes (PN).
•    CRR and repo rates hike by RBI.
•    Satyam fiasco and Lehman’s bankruptcy news.
•    Stringent IPO regulations.
•    US recession fear. Jan 21, 2008 saw biggest ever fall of 1408 points due to volatility on account of US fears of recession.

Now the question arises how this uncertainty leads to such aftershocks in market.

Firstly, investments by FIIs have a major influence on movement of SENSEX which came into limelight during general elections of 2004. Owing to fear of reforms due to new government there was continued selling pressure by FIIs resulting in sharp decline in the index. Later on when the news regarding these reforms stabilised, FIIs started buying back the shares they sold earlier. Thus aiming at profit booking and balancing the portfolio, FIIs keep relocating their funds from time to time. For example if they find govt policies not in their favour, they would withdraw their investments from Indian markets and invest in some other market leading to sudden crash in index.

Secondly, Indian markets are sensitive to global markets. It has been observed that many times if NASDAQ closes high, SENSEX opens in green. So an unwanted news broke out in US may show its effects in Indian markets leading to intra-day volatility.
Thirdly, company specific news may cause volatile sessions in the market. From recent example of Satyam computers ltd, markets were highly volatile due to investor’s sentiment being in dilemma and anticipations about the future of company and related conglomerates.

Fourthly, Political news and news related to finance tend to affect market sentiment. Like RBI declaring CRR hikes, lowering interest rates prompt investor to relocate their investments accordingly. Likewise, news related to scams and frauds also create panic amongst investors making the markets volatile.

Volatility in acceptable limits is a sign of healthy markets as it leads to correction if there is overvaluation of prices. At the same time there is huge risk associated. The crux is that whatever you have in your portfolio of stocks, wind may start blowing against you anytime. So to play safe keep a margin to bear the volatility risk and don’t put all your eggs in same basket as the basic rule of portfolio management says.

Renuka Kinger